For the first time in half of a century, the Kansas City Chiefs are playing for a Super Bowl title. West Virginia online sportsbooks favor them to deny the San Francisco 49ers the franchise’s sixth such win in Super Bowl 54.
The biggest football game of the year is also the biggest single sports betting day on the calendar. West Virginia’s two online sportsbooks provide a myriad ways to successfully wager on many elements of the game.
Super Bowl 54 odds at West Virginia sportsbooks
Kansas City opened as a 2.5-point favorite after last Sunday’s conference championship games. Since then, the spread has moved to just a point and a half.
The current moneyline is about even on San Francisco while the Chiefs sit around -120 at most books. The total for the game has increased slightly from 53.5 to 54 points, appropriately enough.
There are a lot of prop bets for this game. The most popular of those is which player will be named MVP for the contest.
Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes has opened as the favorite in that regard, sitting around +100.
Other prop bets include how many touchdowns both teams will score, the result of the opening coin toss and even which color of Gatorade the winning coach will receive a shower of.
Information is the key to placing a winning bet regardless of which wager type. The data prefers certain wagers over others like in any contest.
Important things to know when placing your bets
The 49ers and Chiefs did not meet during the regular season this year but did last season.
San Francisco fans will remember the last time these two teams played because it was a home game against Kansas City in which 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo tore his ACL and missed most of the 2018 season.
The Chiefs won that game 38-27. In the all-time series, San Francisco leads 7-6. Kansas City has won three of the last four meetings, however.
In the past regular season, the Chiefs went 3-1 straight up and 2-2 against the spread against NFC teams. Conversely, the 49ers were 3-1 ATS and SU in games when their opponents were from the AFC.
Kansas City has been the best team in the league at covering when favored this season. The Chiefs are an impressive 10-4-1 ATS in that situation.
Not only have they covered reliably, but as of late, impressively. During their current eight-game winning streak, Kansas City averages covering by 9.8 points.
To further strengthen the case for taking the Chiefs to cover, Kansas City is a remarkable 9-4-1 ATS this season after a win. On the flip side, San Francisco is just 2-5 ATS in games when both teams enter the games with the same amount of rest.
Making those numbers pan out will require the Chiefs repeating their defensive performance from the AFC championship. Conversely, the 49ers need to execute in the red zone to pull off the mild upset.
How each team can hoist the Lombardi Trophy in Super Bowl 54
In the NFC Championship game, San Francisco ran the ball so effectively that Garoppolo only attempted eight passes en route to a 37-point outing that the 49ers won by three scores.
After starting running back Tevin Coleman left the game injured, Raheem Mostert compiled 220 yards and four touchdowns on the ground for San Francisco.
The running game was also of paramount concern in the AFC title tilt. Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry came into the contest against the Chiefs having decimated his previous two opponents’ defenses.
Kansas City was able to bottle Henry up, however, limiting him to just 69 yards on 19 attempts. The Chiefs’ overall numbers against the run aren’t so impressive, however.
Kansas City averaged allowing nearly five yards per carry on the ground this season and 126.2 yards per game. The Chiefs’ best defense against another explosion by Mostert, however, may just be their own offense.
If Kansas City can score early and often, it will limit the 49ers’ play-calling options. In order to nullify that game plan, San Francisco has to attack the strength of the Chiefs’ defense, which is a classic bend-but-don’t-break scheme.
Only nine teams had a lower red-zone defensive touchdown percentage than Kansas City during the regular season. Conversely, the 49ers were 21st in red-zone touchdown percentage on offense.
If the 49ers can convert possessions into touchdowns, they might be able to get their running game going well enough to keep Mahomes on the sideline. On the other hand, if all San Francisco manages are field goals, the Chiefs should have no problem covering in this game.